Observations of Atmosphere-Ocean coupling in the North Atlantic

(A. Czaja and J. Marshall, MIT)

Quat. J. of the Royal Meteor. Soc., 2001, 127, 1893-1916




Abstract:

An index of sea surface temperature (SST) variability - DT - is introduced that measures the difference in SST across the separated Gulf Stream in late winter. By analyzing a long observational record of SST and sea level pressure (SLP), we show that DT exhibits damped oscillations of decadal period and covaries with the strength of a dipolar sea level pressure anomaly reminiscent of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Analysis in the frequency domain shows a broad band `peak' at 10-20 yr in DT, with a continuous decrease of power on longer timescales. Similar spectral signatures are found in the northern part of the SLP dipole (the Greenland - Icelandic Low region) but not in its southern part (the subtropical High region), which keeps its power increasing on timescales longer than about 25 yrs.

The observations are interpreted in the framework of a delayed-oscillator model in which the ocean circulation introduces the delay, and modulates DT on decadal timescales. The decrease of power seen on long timescales (> 25 yrs) in the DT index is well reproduced by a model including wind driven ocean circulation, and arises primarily as a passive response of the latter to the NAO forcing. Variability of the ocean's meridional overturning circulation could also play a role in modulating DT on decadal timescales. If a small feedback of DT on the NAO pattern is introduced, our simple model can also reproduce the spectral structures seen in SLP anomaly in the Greenland - Iceland region.


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